.png)
Here is the predicted track pattern and Best Bet for Friday’s meeting at The Valley featuring G1 William Reid Stakes.
TRACK
GOOD
TRACKWALKER INFO
Lanes 1,2 perfectly fine but there’s a small advantage to making your run in Lanes 3,4,5. Look for horses that can save ground in the run and then extricate off heels around the home turn finding Lanes 3,4,5. Leaders would be the next best position, they don’t have to navigate a path through runners.
KEY STAT
After a lean run over the past few months the champion stable of Team Hawkes could be back. Recently they’ve posted an A2E of 1.19 [explanation below]
A2E is short for Actual To Expected. This measures performance against the market price. Below 1.00 is performing below expectations and above 1.00 is performing above expectations. We use this to establish trends before the market catches up. How does this differ from ROI [return on investment] and POT [profit on turnover]?
This product will capture data for horses that don't win and place. EG Hugh Bowman rides a $101 chance into 4th in a 12-horse field where it was expected to finish last. This wouldn't show up on ROI or POT but A2E would record this as a positive result for Bowman.
BARRIERS
1000m – Horses drawn the rail with no gate speed can often settle in a terrible spot.
NIC ASHMAN TIP
Race 7 No.1 MASKED CRUSADER
“Imperatriz is the horse to beat but have to be on the old boy at $34. His only run at The Valley resulted in a win in this race two years ago. He clocked the fastest last 200m of the meeting at Sandown last start when resuming in the Oakleigh Plate indicating he couldn't have done much more from where he was”
Comments