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Here is the predicted track pattern and Best Bet for Friday’s meeting at Geelong.
TRACK
GOOD
TRACKWALKER INFO
Inner Lanes appear as good as any and we’d suggest looking for leaders/on-speed horses
KEY STAT
Matt Cumani’s stable has been providing punters with solid returns in recent times. The A2E on his last 100 runners is 1.41 suggesting you can back him with confidence. Cumani has WESTERN SUN in R2, who looks a great each-way bet.
A2E is short for Actual To Expected. This measures performance against the market price. Below 1.00 is performing below expectations and above 1.00 is performing above expectations. We use this to establish trends before the market catches up. How does this differ from ROI [return on investment] and POT [profit on turnover]?
This product will capture data for horses that don't win and place. EG Hugh Bowman rides a $101 chance into 4th in a 12-horse field where it was expected to finish last. This wouldn't show up on ROI or POT but A2E would record this as a positive result for Bowman.
BARRIERS
1100m + 1200m – shortish run into the final bend
NIC ASHMAN TIP
Race 7 No.12 CURRAN
“Showed huge promise as a younger horse but hasn’t won for 18 months, however his 1UP run at Flemington suggests he might be back in some sort of form. Love the fact they’ve gone with a left-handed rider again and with some luck making his run from the ruck, he can blouse them late.”
Sir Nic rides again