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Here is the predicted track pattern and Best Bet for Monday’s meeting at Swan Hill.
TRACKWALKER INFO
Looks even across and we can’t see any apparent bias to be wary of
KEY STAT
Andrew Bobbin and Jack Hill has returned +26% return on your investment from their last 43 runners and during that time this combination has had an A2E of 1.41
A2E is short for Actual To Expected. This measures performance against the market price. Below 1.00 is performing below expectations and above 1.00 is performing above expectations. We use this to establish trends before the market catches up. How does this differ from ROI [return on investment] and POT [profit on turnover]?
This product will capture data for horses that don't win and place. EG Hugh Bowman rides a $101 chance into 4th in a 12-horse field where it was expected to finish last. This wouldn't show up on ROI or POT but A2E would record this as a positive result for Bowman.
TRACK MAP courtesy of The Great Tipoff
BARRIERS
1000m or less – Chute start with one turn into the home straight, wide gates ok
1150m – Short run to the turn, be wary of wide gates covering ground
NIC ASHMAN TIP
Race 1 No.7 PULVERISER
Those that listen to ‘The Monday Podcast’ will note we loved the Tewkesbury Maiden from Ballarat last week. They back the 3rd horse, One Last Kiss, from that race last Friday at Seymour. Pulveriser finished 4th at Ballarat and this is a far easier target
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