NEWCASTLE: Trackwalker Info + Best Bet

Here is the predicted track pattern and Best Bet for Wednesday’s meeting at Newcastle.

TRACK

SOFT

TRACKWALKER

Pretty even across with a small advantage to be 2-3+ off the fence as opposed to hard up against the rail

KEY STAT

Sammy Clipperton last 100 rides has produced an A2E of 1.21 and during that same period his A2E when teaming up with Team Snowden is sitting at 1.13

A2E is short for Actual To Expected. This measures performance against the market price. Below 1.00 is performing below expectations and above 1.00 is performing above expectations. We use this to establish trends before the market catches up. How does this differ from ROI [return on investment] and POT [profit on turnover]?

This product will capture data for horses that don't win and place. EG Hugh Bowman rides a $101 chance into 4th in a 12-horse field where it was expected to finish last. This wouldn't show up on ROI or POT but A2E would record this as a positive result for Bowman.

TRACK MAP courtesy of The Great Tipoff

BARRIERS

900m - Chute start with just one turn into home straight

1200m – Short run to the first turn

NIC ASHMAN TIP

Race 2 No.5 THE ENGLISHMAN

Was progressing nicely last prep which ended in February with a close 2nd in a high rating maiden at Canterbury. That recent trial at Randwick was indicative of a horse thriving and he looks destined for better races than this

BALLARAT: Trackwalker Info + Best Bet