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Here is the predicted track pattern and Best Bet for Thursday’s meeting at Pakenham.
TRACK
GOOD
TRACKWALKER INFO
Chute races [1200m or less] we are forecasting you want to be in the first 6 in running and then utilising Lanes 1-4 will be fine
Circle races [1400m or more] we suggest pace will be a bigger determinant.
Despite what some historical data is showing, we are happy with low draws providing horses have pace to lead or sit on speed
TRAINER/JOCKEY COMBOS
Clinton McDonald has a Pakenham A2E [see below for explanation] of 1.36 since 2014
A2E is short for Actual To Expected. This measures performance against the market price. Below 1.00 is performing below expectations and above 1.00 is performing above expectations
map courtesy of Racing & Sports
BARRIERS
1200m or less – Chute start with just one turn
NIC ASHMAN TIP
Race 4 No.4 FOXHOW
“Never a hope going back to last at his first crack at 1400m last run. The race rated OK but has is the best lead-up figure going into this moderate maiden. Three of his four runs to date have posted a rating that would win this unless something jumps out of the ground.”
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