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Writer's pictureNic Ashman

SANDOWN: Trackwalker Info + Best Bet

Here is the predicted track pattern and Best Bet for Saturday’s meeting at Sandown-Lakeside.

TRACKWALKER INFO

Lanes 1,2,3 inferior to Lanes 4+ and if the rain continues we could easily see them get right out wide to Lanes 8 and beyond. We’d suggest looking for on-speed/midfield runners that are drawn off rail


KEY STAT

The loyal followers of Daniel Moor have enjoyed a healthy return on investment recently with the jockey sending a profit of 21% on every dollar invested on him for his past 100 rides. Moor’s A2E during this time 1.32

A2E is short for Actual To Expected. This measures performance against the market price. Below 1.00 is performing below expectations and above 1.00 is performing above expectations. We use this to establish trends before the market catches up. How does this differ from ROI [return on investment] and POT [profit on turnover]?

This product will capture data for horses that don't win and place. EG Hugh Bowman rides a $101 chance into 4th in a 12-horse field where it was expected to finish last. This wouldn't show up on ROI or POT but A2E would record this as a positive result for Bowman.


TRACK MAP courtesy of The Great Tipoff

BARRIERS

1200m – Short run to the first turn meaning you can get caught covering ground if drawn wide


NIC ASHMAN TIP

Race 9 No.5 EL ROCKO

Specialist wet-tracker who was solid without luck last start on he dry. He finished 2nd in the Echua Cup on the bog two starts back with the winner, Here To Shock, winning again. Maps to get the right run just off the speed, well away from the inside rail and he’s hard fit.



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