Saturday Bets! September 14

Four of the last 5 Golden Rose winners have lined up in the G2 Run To The Rose at their previous start.

MILITARIZE [5TH], IN THE CONGO [2ND], OLE KIRK [2ND] and BIVOUAC [1ST] used the 1200m feature to fine tune themselves ahead of victory in the stallion making event.

TRACKWALKER INFO – Rosehill 14 September

Lanes 1 to 5 expected to be right in play and therefore we are forecasting that on pace runners and those that can settled forward of midfield will be advantaged. This is further exacerbated in races over 1200m or less

G2 RUN TO THE ROSE [1200m]

Godolphin love winning this race. They've taken out the last 4 of the last 5 editions with BIVOUAC, ANAMOE, INSECRET and CYLINDER - all subsequent G1 winners

* 6 of the last 10 winners have been first-up

* Only one winner above $10 in the last decade

* Only one winner drew wider than gate 6 over the last decade

Our trackwalker info is telling we need to be forward of midfield while history says you want to be inside barrier 6. We need a horse that is the market, under $10 and it doesn’t matter if they’ve had a run or not. Looking at the TBF Ratings for career peaks and they say STORM BOY, BUSTLING, TROPICUS and SWITZERLAND are their Top 4. Of those STORM BOY and BUSTLING are likely to benefit most from the predicted track pattern.

TIP: BUSTLING to haul in STORM BOY [EXACTA]

NIC ASHMAN TIP

Race 4 No.11 CAMPALDINO $4.80

Third-up. Beaten at the midweeks last start but came again on the line. Now that he's had the run at this distance range you can bet they'll let him roll from further out and that should suit him immensely. Drops 3kg too and gets one of the best frontrunning riders in the land.

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