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Here is the predicted track pattern and Best Bet for Day 1 of The Championships at Randwick.
TRACK
SOFT
TRACKWALKER INFO
Lanes 1,2,3 inferior to Lanes 4,5,6. We are suggesting you look for runners that can settle off rail with cover and then blend into the race at least four horses off the inside
KEY STAT
Tyler Shiller just chalked up his first Group 1 victory with MARIAMIA in The Galaxy. The young hoop has a fantastic record when he teams up with trainer Luke Pepper. The pair have combined 27 times for 9 wins and have a current A2E of 1.74
A2E is short for Actual To Expected. This measures performance against the market price. Below 1.00 is performing below expectations and above 1.00 is performing above expectations. We use this to establish trends before the market catches up. How does this differ from ROI [return on investment] and POT [profit on turnover]?
This product will capture data for horses that don't win and place. EG Hugh Bowman rides a $101 chance into 4th in a 12-horse field where it was expected to finish last. This wouldn't show up on ROI or POT but A2E would record this as a positive result for Bowman.
BARRIERS
1200m or less – Chute start with just one turn into the home straight
1400m – Bit tricky with a short run before they start turning
NIC ASHMAN TIP
Race 10 No.2 OPAL RIDGE
“Won a stakes race against the boys last start and looks extremely hard to beat here off that. Maps to get the perfect run, off fence with cover getting into those better lanes”
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