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Writer's pictureMitch Moore

STATE OF ORIGIN PREVIEW | The Decider

Here is your preview of Game 3 of the 2024 State Of Origin series.


QLD V NSW  

Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Wednesday 17th July


Team Stats

In the last 16 Origin games, NSW have won 8 and QLD have won 8. Queensland has won 9 of the last 10 Origin deciders and 11 of the last 13 deciders in Brisbane including each of the last 6 deciders at the venue. NSW have only won 7 of their 27 visits to Suncorp and have only won once in their last 6 games. The last 4 teams to win Game 2 have gone onto lose Game 3. All 4 of those teams won Game 2 by 20+ points, 3 of those teams were NSW. 


Margins

The last 4 Origin games have been won by 13+. QLD have won 4 of the last 6 Origin games at Suncorp by 1-12 points. 8 of the last 10 Origin deciders have been decided by 1-12 points, with QLD winning 1-12 in 7/8 games and NSW 1/2. 

Total Match Points

Both games this series have gone over 41.5 points. The last 8 games played at Suncorp have gone under 41.5 points. 5 of the last 8 Origin deciders at Suncorp have had over 40 total points scored


Tryscorer stats

Valentine Holmes lines up on the left wing for this game, he has scored 9 tries in 6 Origin games at Suncorp scoring in 5 of those 6 matches. He has scored in 6 of his 7 games playing wing for QLD.


Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow lines up at left centre for this game, he has scored in all 6 Origin games he has played in, enough said.


Zac Lomax line up at ring wing for this game, he has scored in both of his Origin appearances. The NSW right winger has scored in the last 3 games. The right winger has scored in each of the last 6 games Mitch Moses has played at State and Club level.


Bradman Best lines up at left centre for this game, he scored a double in Game 3 last year. The Blues left centre has scored 5 tries in the last 5 Origins scoring in 4 of those 5 games.


Jeremiah Nanai lines up a right second rower, he has scored in 2 of his last 4 Origins including last time at Suncorp. QLD have scored 7 tries in their last 8 games in his attacking channel.


Dylan Edwards lines up at fullback, he scored on debut last Origin. The NSW fullback has scored in each game this series


 

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