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Here is the predicted track pattern and Best Bet for Sunday’s meeting at Sale.
TRACK
HEAVY
TRACKWALKER INFO
Inside Lanes look as good as any and certainly early in the card we’d suggest looking for on speed gallopers near the rail. But with the track likely to be wet those Lanes could chop out. Be nimble and watch for a potential shift in pattern.
KEY STAT
Jockey Joe Bowditch is enjoying a good run of late producing a positive ROI of 16% with his last 100 runners and an A2E of 1.26
A2E is short for Actual To Expected. This measures performance against the market price. Below 1.00 is performing below expectations and above 1.00 is performing above expectations. We use this to establish trends before the market catches up. How does this differ from ROI [return on investment] and POT [profit on turnover]?
This product will capture data for horses that don't win and place. EG Hugh Bowman rides a $101 chance into 4th in a 12-horse field where it was expected to finish last. This wouldn't show up on ROI or POT but A2E would record this as a positive result for Bowman.
BARRIERS
1400m – Bit tricky with a short run before they start turning
NIC ASHMAN TIP
Race 1 No.3 EXPLOSIVE THINKER
“Made debut in a hot Pakenham maiden where even though he clocked the best last 400m/200m of the night, it still wasn’t good enough to win. Improves with that run under the belt and Sale suits.”
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