SUNDAY: Trackwalker Info + Best Bet

Here is the predicted track pattern and Best Bet for Hobart Cup day on Sunday.

TRACK

Soft 5

TRACKWALKER

Maybe Lane 1 small penalty but inner lanes seem ok. Race shape the most likely determinant

ANOTHER MILLERS PLEASE

Trainer Imogen Miller has limited stock but her record at Hobart is exemplary. Miller has saddled up 92 horses for a profit on turnover of 22% and an A2E of 1.37.

Miller saddles up R7 #1 ALGERNON

A2E is provided to us by Punting Form and assesses how the horse/jockey/trainer performs against market expectation regardless of whether it wins. Above 1.00 is exceeding market expectations while 0.99 or lower is below market expectations. It’s handy when a jockey keeps riding $101 pops into 4th and 5th. This wouldn’t show up on a normal profitability table but is captured as a positive in the A2E world.

BARRIERS

1000m – Short run to final bend

NIC ASHMAN TIP 4.50PM

R8 #6 AIN’TNODEELDUN $5.50

“Loved his win at The Valley – long, sustained run with 59kg on his back. Drops to 54kg and gets every chance to run out 2400m for the first time”