Here is the predicted track pattern for Wednesday's Warwick Farm meeting together with the TBF Best Bet.
TRACK
Good 4
TRACKWALKER
The inside lanes, especially lanes 2 & 3 are as good as any, we’d suggest horses settling on speed and stalking it will be advantaged. Best place for us is outside lead and one out one back. Nothing wrong with lanes 4+ just no advantage being there so you'll need a superior horse or the right race shape.
map courtesy of Racing & Sports
BARRIERS
1400m or less – Out of the chute with just a half turn into the straight making wide gates no disadvantage
1600m - Just short of 300m til the turn making wide gates a tad tricky
GODOLPHIN AT THE FARM
Of the four Sydney metro tracks in the past year, James Cummings and his Godolphin team have the best strike rate at Warwick Farm. Here they strike at 26% versus Randwick & Canterbury both 20% and Rosehill 17%
NIC ASHMAN TIP
Race 6 No.1 MISS FOX $15/$3.60
“Huge win 1UP when 3 wide no cover at Gosford then taken back from a wide gate at Canterbury 2UP. She’s almost a month between runs, which puts the freshness back into her legs and that’s how she races best. Stable have taken two horses to WF over the past 12 months and walked away with a winner. Her stats tell us she’s close to a 40% chance of running a place yet we’re getting $3.60 (27%) in early betting. Great each-way bet”
Good luck!
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