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Here is the predicted track pattern and Best Bet for Wednesday’s meeting at the Sandown.
TRACK
GOOD
TRACKWALKER INFO
Expecting Lanes 3,4,5,6 to be the best. Factoring in the wind, we'd suggest looking for horses that can settle off fence with a horse underneath them and then make your run in Lanes 3-6 to the outside of runners
KEY STAT
The combination of Damian Lane and the Price/Kent stable are striking at 30% and currently beating market expectations by 51% with an A2E of 1.51 courtesy of Punting Form
A2E is short for Actual To Expected. This measures performance against the market price. Below 1.00 is performing below expectations and above 1.00 is performing above expectations. We use this to establish trends before the market catches up. How does this differ from ROI [return on investment] and POT [profit on turnover]? This product will capture data for horses that don't win and place. EG Hugh Bowman rides a $101 chance into 4th in a 12-horse field where it was expected to finish last. This wouldn't show up on ROI or POT but A2E would record this as a positive result for Bowman.
BARRIERS
1000m – Small dogleg into home straight, wide gates ok
NIC ASHMAN TIP
Race 4 No.6 CELESTIAL HARBOUR
“Posted flat sectionals winning 1UP, which is indicative of a horse that will appreciate longer. Gets an extra 200m here and you get the feeling she went to Bendigo fresh-up to blow the cobwebs out”
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