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Here is the predicted track pattern and Best Bet for Wednesday’s meeting at Warwick Farm.
TRACKWALKER INFO
[based on soft track] Lane 2 better than hard up against the rail with Lanes 3+ all fine. On speed runners drawn away from the inside barriers should be advantaged especially in races over 1400m or less where they start from the chute with one turn.
We suggest looking for horses that settle in the first 5 that can get away from the inside in the home straight.
KEY STAT courtesy of Punting Form
A2E is short for Actual To Expected. This measures performance against the market price. Below 1.00 is performing below expectations and above 1.00 is performing above expectations. We use this to establish trends before the market catches up. How does this differ from ROI [return on investment] and POT [profit on turnover]?
This product will capture data for horses that don't win and place. EG Hugh Bowman rides a $101 chance into 4th in a 12-horse field where it was expected to finish last. This wouldn't show up on ROI or POT but A2E would record this as a positive result for Bowman.
TRACK MAP courtesy of The Great Tipoff
BARRIERS
1400m or less – Chute start with one turn into the home straight, wide gates ok
NIC ASHMAN TIP
Race 4 No.5 UNION GAP
Led them up over a mile on a bog track when resuming off a 61-week break only to power away from them by 2L with a further 4L to the 3rd horse. You don’t see that too often and his last 200m indicated there was more to come. Heavy to drier ground is the concern but we could be dealing with a horse that’s well beyond this grade.
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